S.C. could be Romney barometer
WASHINGTON — In a classic political case of better late than never, South Carolina Republicans who earlier spurned Mitt Romney are belatedly embracing him as he closes in on their party’s presidential nomination.
But in South Carolina, one of the hotbeds of the nation’s tea party movement and where Republican activists spent long months taking an anyone-but-Romney stance, the embrace feels reluctant — more weak handshake than hearty hug.
Romney might be in little danger of losing the state to President Barack Obama in November; Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976 was the last Democrat to carry South Carolina in a presidential general election. But the degree of enthusiasm for Romney in the Palmetto State will provide a barometer for his ability to motivate party activists who could determine the outcome in a dozen swing states that are likely to decide the election.
South Carolina is the only state outside his native Georgia that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich won, a reflection of Romney’s difficulties exciting the Republican base.
South Carolina state Sen. Tom Davis, a tea party leader, backed Rep. Ron Paul of Texas for president. But he now has some good things to say about Romney, though in words that sound as much like a warning as an endorsement.
“If he frames the debate between President Obama’s agenda of an ever-growing and more powerful government versus faith in free markets and individual liberty, I think he’s got a good chance of winning,” Davis, a lawyer in Beaufort, S.C., told McClatchy Newspapers.
“If he doesn’t draw the line that sharply and tries to tack toward the center, then I think it will be very difficult,” Davis said.
South Carolina’s streak of choosing the eventual nominee in the previous six contested Republican White House races — going back to Ronald Reagan’s 1980 win — ended this year when Gingrich captured the Jan. 21 primary with 40.4 percent of the vote.
Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, came in a distant second with 27.8 percent. That showing was better than his finish in the state’s 2008 presidential primary, when he ended up fourth with 15.1 percent of the vote.
Sen. Lindsey Graham, who himself has shaky conservative bona fides in the eyes of some GOP stalwarts, urged Republicans to get behind Romney in a manner reminiscent of a doctor calling in a prescription.
“People say, ‘I may not like Romney because of this or that,’” Graham told WORD Radio in Greenville, S.C., Monday.
“It’s not just about Romney,” he said. “It’s about the people he will put in charge of the government. And I can assure you he’s going to put different people in charge of these agencies (than Obama) and will pick different judges. That alone is enough for me to vote for Romney.”
South Carolina state Rep. Nathan Ballentine, a Wells Fargo mortgage officer in Chapin, S.C., was one of the first state legislators to endorse Romney — 11 months ago. Ballentine doesn’t understand why his Republican peers aren’t more bullish on Romney, who he says is just what the nation needs at this point in its history.
“Gov. Romney is a businessman,” Ballentine said. “He’s not a fly-by-the-seat-of-his-pants kind of guy. Some people think that means he’s too calculated, but I think he’s exactly what we need. He is a CEO who’s got a plan to get our country back on track. He’s not a rah-rah kind of guy, but there aren’t too many CEOs who are.”
Winthrop University political scientist Scott Huffmon, who runs the Rock Hill, S.C., school’s political polls, said that Romney’s support among South Carolina Republicans has been the steadiest among all presidential candidates, but that he always trailed at least one other “anti-Romney” opponent during the primary season.
“Romney has had solid support, but not great enthusiasm,” Huffmon said. “All that said, Republicans in South Carolina will very much line up to vote for him over Barack Obama.”