Pat Shingleton for Thursday, May 30, 2013

Prognosticators try to foretell the amount of activity during a hurricane season; correlating the predictions is questionable. In 1983, there only four named storms, but Alicia nailed the Houston-Galveston coast with extensive damage. There were six named storms in 1992, but Andrew left extensive damage in Baton Rouge and, before Gustav, it was the worst storm to hit our area. Last year, the Klotzbach-Gray team predicted 10 named storms, when 19 were recorded. They forecast four hurricanes when 10 were logged and predicted two major hurricanes would develop when only one occurred. The predictions for this season jumped to 18 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes. It only takes one storm. Our special “Weathering the Storm” airs at 7 tonight on WBRZ-TV. Fastcast: Afternoon showers.